Saturday, August 7, 2021

What happens when there really is a wolf?

Damn straight



 Digby asked this week (without making a prediction herself) if the Mississippi abortion case to appear before the Supreme Court next year would be the one that overturns Roe v. Wade given the current makeup of the Court, and if they did, whether it would energize republicans or Democrats more.

I am notoriously bad at political predictions (just ask President Hillary Clinton), but I believe the current iteration of the republican party is so far off the rails that I see little chance Roe v. Wade won't be overturned.  In the past, political calculations would have reigned--overturning it would not have been worth the loss of a cash cow, base motivator, and the backlash that it was bound to incur among women.  Thanks to Donald Trump, republicans believe they can overcome issues that are unpopular with the general public on Trump's popularity alone.

This time, they will be wrong.

I see no way that the overturning of Roe v. Wade doesn't fire up the Democratic base far more than the republican base--anger, as Donald Trump learned in the last election, is the great equalizer.  Not to mention that any woman who thought Democrats were crying wolf when it comes to the end of abortion rights would have that notion dispelled immediately.

The overturning of Roe v. Wade will all but ensure Democrats keep control of the House and the Senate in 2022, and keep Joe Biden in the White House until 2028.


Taxing the Wealthy Is Good Politics for the Democratic Party

Peace,
emaycee

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