The coming tsunami (for republicans)

 

The Democratic wave on November 3rd

Republicans are looking at three potential roadblocks in the next six weeks, any of which could be the size of Mount Everest, in front of their electoral chances come November.  To wit:

• The economic recovery is far from being complete.  The jobs numbers for August were helped immensely by Census hiring--all of which will be disappearing at the end of September.  Private sector jobs since the start of the pandemic have only grown .9%.  The loss of the $600 stipend for the unemployed is going to cut into consumer spending...which is already down due to folks judging that getting the coronavirus isn't worth buying a set of bath towels.  Mediocre or bad jobs results the first week of October or November, or another dip in consumer spending would all but doom them on November 3rd.
• Remember how approximately six weeks after Memorial Day coronavirus cases and deaths began spiking because people weren't cautious with masks and social distancing?  And how it happened again after the Fourth of July?  Well, Americans were idiots again over the Labor Day weekend, so about two weeks before the election chances are we're going to see another jump in COVID-19 cases and deaths.  Considering the pandemic is Americans' number one issue this election, another spike will not be good news for republicans.
• Does anyone really believe that a man who has shown again and again that he's dumb, doesn't prepare or study, can't stay on message, and has the attention span of a three year old is going to nail the upcoming Presidential debates?  Yeah, me either.  It's hard to imagine piss poor debate performances will cut into Biden's already substantial leads in key battleground states.

After 2016 I wouldn't begin to predict how political races will turn out this November, but it's not hard to see that republicans chances are a lot closer to doomed than they are to victory.

197,000+ Dead Americans

Fuck Donald Trump,

emaycee